Another Take on Transitions
Come on! We know that there’s another story of change. We’ve read the books. We’ve heard the success stories of businesses that exploited change and the cautionary tales of businesses that avoided it. The reality is that every change is an opportunity for growth. Category variables change. Playing fields rearrange. Dominant players can become vulnerable and traditional barriers to markets can become surmountable.
In a world where everyone’s gently (or not so gently) freaking out, there’s no better time to allow change to fuel your business. It will, however, require a change in your relationship with change.
You May Need Therapy
Similar to people, a business’s aversion to change will put limits on its ability to take advantage of future opportunities. So, how do you replace fear of change with something akin to curiosity? In exposure therapy, people are gradually exposed to the things, situations and activities they fear. It can help treat several conditions, like phobias, PTSD and panic attacks.
Businesses can benefit from a similar approach. At LPK, we employ a forecasting methodology called Future Fluency. It uses lateral thinking to fuel “if this, then that” analysis, focusing on uncovering and anticipating patterns of change over time, ultimately translated to insight and foresight. The approach isn’t unlike exposure therapy, inserting brands into potential future scenarios—arguably making them more adaptable, if not high-functioning, in that version of tomorrow. This gives businesses the confidence that comes from directional knowledge, illuminating new realities and anticipating alternate futures. And with this level of change-readiness, there’s no need for the swashbuckling heroics (or luck) found in business books.
Firing Better Bullets
In a world of change, it’s important to get comfortable experimenting. “Fire bullets, then cannonballs” is a concept developed in Jim Collins’ book Great by Choice. First, you fire bullets (low-cost, low-risk, low-distraction experiments) to figure out what will work. Then, once you have empirical validation, you fire a cannonball (concentrating resources into a big bet). The goal is to turn small, proven ideas (bullets) into huge hits (cannonballs). Many businesses have adopted this approach as a way to mitigate risk and lower the anxiety associated with change.
Unfortunately, many innovation efforts run out of runway and optimism because their bullets never hit anything worth a cannonball. But with a Future Fluent approach, businesses can wield timely and transformative insights to improve the aims of their business experiments.